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THE WALL STREET TRANSCRIPT |
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Questioning Market Leaders For Long Term Investors |
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JOHN MCCOWN - TRAILER BRIDGE INC
(TRBR) DOCUMENT # ABF611 JOHN D. MCCOWN, Chairman and CEO of Trailer Bridge, Inc., has been with Trailer Bridge since its founding in 1992. Mr. McCown worked closely with Trailer Bridge's founder, transportation pioneer Malcom McLean, the inventor of container shipping, from 1980 until Mr. McLean's death in 2001. Prior to his involvement in the marine field, Mr. McCown was a corporate loan officer for a New York City bank. He has an undergraduate business degree from Louisiana State University and an MBA from Harvard Business School. Sector: shipping TWST: What is Trailer Bridge? Mr. McCown: We're an asset-based freight company. We use hard assets to move freight between the mainland and Puerto Rico. TWST: What type of hard assets? Mr. McCown: The assets we own and control include vessels, containers, which are the boxes cargo is loaded into, chassis, which are the wheel sets containers are put on when not stacked on the vessel, tractors to move container/chassis units over-the-road, and the equipment for loading and unloading the containers from the vessel. We are integrated and handle the whole land and sea movement. Our assets are differentiated both by their size and youth. We believe that these tangible hard asset differences make them more cost-efficient and give us an edge in our market. TWST: Specifically what kind of differences are you talking about? Mr. McCown: Our assets are fairly unique among our competitors. The two main differentiating characteristics are, first, the size of our container equipment and, second, the type of vessels we operate. All of our containers are 53 feet long. While that's the domestic standard, the typical overseas marine container is just 40 feet long. Our 53 footers are not only longer, but they are higher and wider so that results in 50% more inside cubic space. That translates into a bunch of cost advantages, most particularly on the land leg of the journey. The high- cube 53 foot units have been the domestic truckload standard for over a decade as trucking costs per mile are nearly identical across equipment sizes and you always want to pull the biggest equipment to get the best cost economics. The typical load moving to Puerto Rico generally has a 500 mile or more inland leg prior to being loaded on the vessel for its 1,121 mile sea voyage, so your best economics come from moving it the same way it would move as a domestic load. That requires 53 footers. Getting up to 50% more freight in those big boxes also effectively results in cargo handling efficiencies as you're loading and unloading less boxes on the vessel and your customer also harvests some efficiencies on his own loading dock. The second key differentiating aspect of our assets is the type of vessels that we operate. These vessels result in relative cost-efficiencies for our 1,121-sea leg. Our vessels are giant barges, including two 736 foot long, three story vessels that are the largest barges in the world, that are towed with large 8,000 horsepower ocean-going tugs. Tug/barge combinations have a number of cost advantages relative to self-propelled vessels. TWST: What are the differences between the tug/barge units you operate and self-propelled vessels? Mr. McCown: At every expense line, tug/barges have significant favorable cost comparisons relative to self-propelled vessels. Start with the crew costs. Tugs typically have crews of six versus a crew of 23 on the self- propelled vessels. On top of that, tug crew members have a different wage scale relative to crew members on self-propelled vessels. So on top of a big difference in crew number, there is also a per man-day difference. Tug/barges move at nine knots, which is half the speed of self-propelled vessels. But our slower speed results in much less fuel consumed per mile. Our much cleaner fuel costs more, but we're still left with a fuel cost per unit mile cost advantage. In addition, both new construction and maintenance costs on barges are well below similar size self-propelled vessels. TWST: What do you move to Puerto Rico. Mr. McCown: Puerto Rico is an island economy where the large majority of what 4 million people eat, wear, drive or otherwise buy comes to them by a vessel. Consumption of all of these staples results in a consistent and predictable overall market. It's not terribly seasonal because, again, it's focused on consumption. Except for petroleum products and other things that move in tankers and bulk carriers, we and our competitors move just about everything that goes to Puerto Rico. TWST: What sort of growth are you seeing in your market? Mr. McCown: Over the last 10 years, the compounded annual growth rate of container freight moving from the US to Puerto Rico has been 1.7% a year. The consumption nature of the market translates into the southbound lane being much larger with 3.5 times the volume moving south as moving north. Northbound has been growing more, 5.1% per year over the last 10 years, due to more light manufacturing activity on the island. Fundamentally, the overall market we serve is stable and predictable and can be counted on to grow slightly above the population growth rate. We like that demand aspect of our market. TWST: Any notable regulation or barriers to entry in your market? Mr. McCown: The Puerto Rico market is covered by legislation known as the Jones Act. This requires freight moving between all US ports including Puerto Rico to move on US flag vessels built in the US and owned by US citizens. So that's a major barrier to entry. It's a key investment consideration when somebody is looking at our company. The Jones Act has been around for 80 years; more than 60 countries have similar laws. It's an absolute legal barrier to foreign operators coming in, and we just don't see that going away. The relatively high cost of building vessels in the US, particularly self-propelled vessels, also acts as an indirect barrier to entry to domestic operators. As a result of that, the vessels in Jones Act markets and, more specifically, in the Puerto Rico lane, are quite old. In fact, a defining characteristic of the Puerto Rico market for our competitors is the age of their vessels. Conversely, Trailer Bridge's vessels are comparatively young, which we feel is an advantage. TWST: What factors drive customer decisions in your business? Mr. McCown: Price in an all-inclusive sense, which starts with the freight rate and includes all the factors that affect a customer's economics. Service attributes can be reduced down to their economic effect and we attempt to incorporate everything into our analysis. We highlight and sell the end to end cost per cubic foot that results from someone using our integrated freight system. TWST: If I was a potential customer, what's the single best reason to select your company versus a competitor? Mr. McCown: Our assets and freight system put us in the best position to consistently deliver better overall supply chain economics, which makes their own business more competitive and better able to grow and serve their own customers. TWST: Tell us about your competitors. How many are there? Mr. McCown: We are one of four competitors moving freight to Puerto Rico. We are the smallest competitor, but we have the lowest overall cost per unit mile; we like that combination. The competitors can be divided into two groups of two companies each, those which use self- propelled vessels and those which use tug/barges. Each year for the last decade the percent of the total freight moving on tug/barges has increased, going from less than one-third to more than half today. While we're pleased with our present cost per unit mile advantage, we see the vessel age factor widening that gap in the future. TWST: How so? What is the competitive effect of the age of the vessels? Mr. McCown: Our vessel fleet is eight years old; that's about one quarter the age of our competitors, whose fleets average around 29 years. The maintenance cost on old vessels like those, particularly dry- docking, just keeps on going up. Vessels as old as our competitors' legally have to go into a dry dock every two and a half years as opposed to five years for our new vessels. The dry-docking expenditures on our new vessels are running about $175,000 per occurrence. Contrast that with expenditures that are running around $6 million to drydock an old self-propelled vessel. That's just replacing wasted steel and the amount and cost to fix increases each time. As extraordinary as that cost is, the only way they can avoid it is to build new vessels, which would saddle them with even higher overall costs, given new construction prices. New self-propelled vessels of the size used in the Puerto Rico market would cost more than $150 million today. Either in the form of higher maintenance or even higher capital costs, we know that all of our competitors costs will be moving up quicker than our costs. We have renewed our fleet and our vessels will last another 30 years, so we've already gone through a major hard asset replacement cycle that still looms for our competitors. TWST: What's the agenda at this point? What are your priorities for the next 12 to 24 months? Mr. McCown: We are focused on improving our numbers. We're starting to reap the benefits from a major shakeout in our market that resulted from the withdrawal of a competitor and the scrapping of their old vessels that translated into a 25% reduction in capacity. We've spoken extensively about this specific competitive situation in quarterly releases and earlier TWST interviews and I'd refer you to those if you'd like to know more. Driven by these sector-specific changes, this year we've returned to profitability and each sequential quarter has expanded rather markedly on the improvement versus the year-ago quarter. We still think that the effect of what is really an extraordinary realignment in the supply/demand dynamics of the Puerto Rico market still has a ways to run. TWST: What's your reasoning behind that belief? Mr. McCown: We and others have benefited from volume increases but we believe the full effect of the rate increases from changes within the sector is still rolling out. We're seeing that in our own contract renewals. While our own rates began increasing as contracts were renewed in 2004, they would still need to go up, on average, another 20% to 25% just to be back where they were in the mid-1990's before the shakeout began. Whether and when we can get them all the way back to that level is debatable, but we are renewing contracts with nice rate increases and various indicators point to continuing upward movement in pricing. TWST: Are there other markets besides Puerto Rico that you see yourself getting into? Mr. McCown: We have a replicable system that will work well in other marine markets. We like the Jones Act and the barriers and benefits it brings to a system like ours, so down the road we can envision ourselves in Hawaii and Alaska, the other two major Jones Act liner markets. Presently, we are focused on the Puerto Rico market and believe that our best immediate returns will come from leveraging assets over what we now have in place. Increased density utilizing the ports we now serve will play an important role in our expansion plans. Short sea markets such as the Dominican Republic offer the possibility for add-on service without significant incremental outlays. Under the right set of circumstances, Cuba could be an extraordinary opportunity for us should the US end its embargo of the country. Our system doesn't require any portside infrastructure and this reduces risks and speeds up entry as we expand in markets we now serve and markets we will serve in the future. TWST: What are the main trends that are playing out in your business and the Puerto Rico market today? Mr. McCown: I see three. First and foremost is what is flowing out of our sectors improved supply/demand dynamics, which began in 2003 with volume increases, continued in 2004 with initial rate increases and is still continuing today with further rate increases. Look at and stay tuned to our quarterly releases for that. The other two trends, which are longer-term and have been evident for the last 10 years, are the consistent movement toward larger equipment and the consistent movement toward tug/barge units. Both of these fundamentally relate to shipper choices relating to the types of hard assets that can deliver better sustainable value. The use of larger equipment not traditionally used by marine carriers has gone from just 7.5% of the freight in 1995 to 29.7% in 2003, a four-fold increase. While that's a big relative increase, the average equipment length used for Puerto Rico shipments is still only 43.25 feet, 18% below the average length used on the mainland, and the inside cube of equipment is, on average, 25% below what is used on the mainland. As much as that has increased, it still has a long way to go to get to the efficient size shippers are used to for domestic movements and that will produce further opportunities for us as all of our equipment is the 53 feet size shippers prefer. Likewise, shippers are opting for moving more freight each year on tug/barge units, driven by better cost-economics compared to self-propelled vessels. In the case of the revitalized market trend and the two longer-term trends, the past is the window to the future and I see them all continuing. While not a trend, our business has also benefited rather extraordinarily by a transaction we put in place at the end of 2004 in December. TWST: What transaction was that and how did it benefit you? Mr. McCown: We closed on a series of deals where we bought an affiliate that had previously chartered two vessels to us and bought some equipment that we had been leasing. We funded all of that with an $85 million public bond offering. All together we did away with $11 million of annual cash lease cost and replaced that with $6 million of fixed incremental cash interest cost. So that transaction resulted in cash expense benefits of $5 million per year. The affiliate we acquired also owned some $24 million of our preferred stock, so the acquisition effectively did away with what eventually would have been $2 million a year of cash dividends. So from an overall annual cash standpoint, you can look at that transaction as being $7 million to the benefit of our shareholders. Again, it's a one-time event, but it's a sizable one-time event that will benefit us by a fixed amount each year. Recognizing the transforming nature of this series of transactions made possible by our bond deal, the leading shipping finance publication recently selected ours as the public bond deal of the year. It was a nice financial transaction to cap off the year where we began seeing the results from the changes in our market. TWST: Introduce us to your top-level management team. Mr. McCown: We have an outstanding management team that has been basically intact with the company since we were founded. There are seven officers who collectively have over 175 years of experience in the marine freight business with much of it focused on the Puerto Rico market. This group stayed intact through a long and wrenching sector shakeout based upon their belief, driven by their knowledge and experience, that we had the superior business model and would weather the competitive storm. All of our officers are aligned with shareholders as a substantial part of everyone's personal balance sheet is tied to the performance of our stock. One aspect worth noting is our insider purchase activity. Our company has had 308 insider market transactions, all but two of which were purchases. That goes back to our IPO and, in fact, includes our IPO. We've never really had any meaningful insider selling and purchases have occurred every month for over six years. Our insiders have collectively purchased over 425,000 shares, an amount that goes into a double-digit percentage of the public float, and are continuing to purchase. In December 2004, there were seven insider purchases, the most active number of insider purchases in 20 months. Personally, I've never sold any Trailer Bridge stock and have added to my position through 194 direct and indirect open market purchases over the years. TWST: What message would you like to give Wall Street? Mr. McCown: That what has happened in our business in the past was driven by factors that are fairly easy to get your head around. Similarly, there are fundamental factors still present in our business and market today that can give you insight into our relative competitive advantages. The core investment thesis for someone looking at our stock still has a lot of similarity to the potential someone could have seen from reviewing and analyzing the points made in our 2001 interview with TWST. Anyone who saw the potential and bought at the end of 2001 was rewarded with appreciation of 61% in 2002, 158% in 2003 and 72% in 2004 for a three-year compound rate of return of 93% per year. For many of the same reasons, I believe our future remains bright. The analysis of what has happened and likely what will continue to happen in the Puerto Rico market is really the same whether you are an investor or a shipper. It is fundamentally a classic case of better business models supplanting higher cost models. I expect our story will one day become a Harvard Business School case study and taught in financial and competitive analysis classes for what it says about the importance of detailed fundamental analysis of all relevant facts. TWST: What is the core investment thesis for someone considering your stock today? Mr. McCown: That the combined effects of a 25% capacity reduction in a market with extraordinary barriers to entry and a consistent growth will benefit all participants, but most particularly the participant with the lowest overall costs and youngest assets. Beyond the clear edge we have in our present market, we have a replicable system (which includes two patents and a third that we are pursuing) that can be deployed with similar relative advantages in other markets down the road. Just as big box retailers brought in better cost models, we are effectively a big box freight system that is a better cost model. On a cost per effective mile basis, we're more like Jet Blue while our competitors are more like US Air. TWST: Thank you. (DWA) JOHN D. MCCOWN Chairman & CEO Trailer Bridge, Inc. 10405 New Berlin Road East Jacksonville, FL 32226 (904) 751-7100 (800) 554-1589 - TOLL FREE (904) 751-7444 - FAX www.trailerbridge.com Copyright 2005 The Wall Street Transcript Corporation All Rights Reserved The Wall Street Transcript (TWST) interviews
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